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Official Picks

Today's card

High-confidence value bets vetted by Oddsmosis AI and our EV stack.

Generated Nov 30

Pick

Winnipeg Jets @ Buffalo Sabres

NHL • Spread

Winnipeg Jets -1.5 @ 205

Edge 36.1% • Confidence 80%

Jets -1.5 shows massive 36% edge with strong model confidence. Recent form concerns and injury uncertainty warrant caution despite favorable matchup.

Drivers

  • Significant 36.08% edge between true probability (68.9%) and sportsbook probability (32.8%)
  • Jets' offensive firepower: Kyle Connor (12G, 17A) vs. Sabres' defensive struggles (-12 goal differential)
  • Sabres' recent collapse: 5-5 in last 10 games, 3.4 goals allowed per game

Risks

  • Jets' concerning form: 4-6-0 in last 10 games, averaging only 2.9 goals per game
  • Neal Pionk (D) day-to-day with lower body injury—status unclear for Monday matchup
View matchup

Pick

Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz

NBA • Moneyline

Utah Jazz ML @ 445

Edge 28.8% • Confidence 80%

Jazz ML at +445 offers significant value with 28.78% edge. Model projects 47.1% win probability vs 18.4% implied odds—a rare mispricing on home underdog.

Drivers

  • Massive odds mispricing: Sportsbook implies 18.4% Jazz win probability vs model's 47.1%—nearly 3x undervalued
  • Home court advantage: Jazz 5-5 ATS at Delta Center this season; Rockets 8-2 on road but facing 12.5-point spread inflation
  • Recent Jazz momentum: Won last game 128-119 vs Sacramento with Keyonte George (31 pts) and Lauri Markkanen (28 pts) both healthy

Risks

  • Rockets' elite form: 12-4 record, 8-2 in last 10 games, 4-game road winning streak with dominant offensive efficiency (118.9 PPG, 46.9% FG)
  • Double-digit spread legitimacy: 12.5-point line reflects real talent gap; Jazz 0-4 ATS as 12.5+ underdogs this season
View matchup

Pick

Columbus Blue Jackets @ New Jersey Devils

NHL • Moneyline

Columbus Blue Jackets ML @ 320

Edge 26.2% • Confidence 80%

CBJ ML at +320 offers 26% edge with 50% true probability vs 24% sportsbook. Strong value but team form and goal differential present execution risk.

Drivers

  • Significant +26.19% edge between true probability (50%) and sportsbook probability (23.8%)
  • Attractive +320 odds provide 1.10 units expected value on unit bet
  • No critical injuries for either team entering matchup

Risks

  • Columbus 1-4 in last 5 games vs New Jersey 3-2—stark form differential favors home team
  • CBJ averages only 2.5 goals per game while conceding 3.2—negative goal differential suggests offensive struggles
View matchup
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NFL

National Football League

5 games scheduled

Today

4:05 PM
NFL
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
+640
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
-950
Spread
-12.5
Total
41.5
4:25 PM
NFL
BUF
Buffalo Bills
-174
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
+146
Spread
+3.0
Total
44.5
4:25 PM
NFL
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
+430
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
-590
Spread
-10.0
Total
40.5
8:20 PM
NFL
DEN
Denver Broncos
-280
WSH
Washington Commanders
+230
Spread
+6.0
Total
43.5

Monday, December 1

8:15 PM
NFL
NYG
New York Giants
+295
NE
New England Patriots
-370
Spread
-7.0
Total
46.5
NHL

National Hockey League

7 games scheduled

Today

5:10 PM
NHL
CGY
Calgary Flames
+350
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
-175
Spread
-1.5
Total
6.5
6:10 PM
NHL
OTT
Ottawa Senators
+320
DAL
Dallas Stars
+105
Spread
-1.5
Total
5.5

Monday, December 1

7:00 PM
NHL
CBJ
Columbus Blue Jackets
+136
NJ
New Jersey Devils
-155
Spread
-1.5
Total
6.5
7:00 PM
NHL
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
+132
PHI
Philadelphia Flyers
-150
Spread
-1.5
Total
5.5
7:30 PM
NHL
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
+100
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
-114
Spread
-1.5
Total
6.5
8:00 PM
NHL
ANA
Anaheim Ducks
+120
ST
St Louis Blues
-148
Spread
-1.5
Total
5.5
10:00 PM
NHL
UTA
Utah Mammoth
-150
SJ
San Jose Sharks
+132
Spread
+1.5
Total
6.5
NBA

National Basketball Association

7 games scheduled

Today

6:10 PM
NBA
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
+105
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
-125
Spread
-2.0
Total
231.0
6:10 PM
NBA
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
-599
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
+450
Spread
+11.5
Total
233.5
6:10 PM
NBA
TOR
Toronto Raptors
+260
NY
New York Knicks
-330
Spread
-8.0
Total
230.0
6:10 PM
NBA
BOS
Boston Celtics
+225
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
-260
Spread
-7.5
Total
233.0
7:10 PM
NBA
SA
San Antonio Spurs
+145
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
-175
Spread
-4.0
Total
234.5
9:10 PM
NBA
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
-140
SAC
Sacramento Kings
+120
Spread
+3.0
Total
233.0
9:40 PM
NBA
NO
New Orleans Pelicans
+650
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
-1000
Spread
-16.5
Total
230.0
UFC

Ultimate Fighting Championship

6 games scheduled

Saturday, December 6

6:15 PM
UFC
MAI
Mairon Santos
-265
MUH
Muhammadjon Naimov
+205
Rounds
-
Total
-
6:45 PM
UFC
ANT
Antonio Trocoli
+800
MAN
Mansur Abdul-Malik
-1250
Rounds
-
Total
-
7:15 PM
UFC
IBO
Ibo Aslan
+150
IWO
Iwo Baraniewski
-186
Rounds
-
Total
-
7:30 PM
UFC
JAL
Jalin Turner
-278
EDS
Edson Barboza
+215
Rounds
-
Total
-
7:45 PM
UFC
BRU
Brunno Ferreira
-105
MAR
Marvin Vettori
-118
Rounds
-
Total
-
8:15 PM
UFC
FAR
Fares Ziam
-132
NAZ
Nazim Sadykhov
+107
Rounds
-
Total
-